Take Aaron Judge to hit #61 tonight | Vikings and Jaguars lead Friday’s football selections

The third week of the NFL season is one of the most important weeks of the season, even if it isn’t treated that way. As we head into the weekend, the 11 teams in the league are either 2-0 or 0-2, which means seasons can be decided this week.

I’m serious! I know there are still 14 games left after this week, but we already know that teams that start 0-2 often miss playoffs. Teams starting 0-3 practically died in the water. So there are five fandoms going in this weekend with that guillotine hanging over their heads. I mean, can you imagine that? You spend the entire season waiting for the new season to start. You talk yourself into believing this is the year, and then it’s over after three weeks?

On the other side of that coin, while it’s not a guarantee, with so many NFL playoff points now, it’s hard to miss the playoffs if you start 3-0. As long as you avoid catastrophic injuries or an epic meltdown, you’re in an excellent position to get a massive berth, to say the least. So six teams can make it this weekend.

So, like I said, it’s a huge week in the NFL. Unless your team is 1-1, it’s just another week, but you can probably win to be safe.

Now let’s start Friday football with a baseball bet!

All Eastern Times, All Odds via Caesars Sportsbook


🔥 Hot Ticket

Red Sox at Yankees, 7:05 p.m. | TV: Apple TV +

  • main trend: Aaron Judge hits stingers repeatedly
  • Choice: Aaron Judge to hit HR (+265)

Let me start by saying that while I think it’s great that Aaron Judge has hit 60 home runs and is far from tying Roger Maris to his 61st toes in a single season, the amount of attention that is being given to him a lot. He’s trying to set a team record. Not an MLB record. This record was broken several times. Like it or not, Barry Bonds hit 73 home runs in 2001. In 1998, Mark McGuire hit 70, and Sammy Sosa scored 66. The following season, McGuire hit 65, and Sosa hit 63. Then, just for good measure, she hit Sousse 64 in 2001.

Once a record icon, Maris scored 61 times in a single season, now ranks seventh all-time. When Aaron Judge delves deep again, he will be chained up for the seventh time ever. However, the coverage you get is like putting a Judge on a permanent mark, and that’s only because he’s a Yankee. If Aaron Judge plays in Auckland Athletics, his 60 home games will be discussed but he won’t get much attention.

He joins Jonathan Coachman, Emory Hunt, Chip Patterson and Allan Bell to make Friday’s best bets. Download and follow The Early Edge on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

All of this shows the power to annoy Yankees fans, like the editor of this newsletter. So, I’m betting the judge will tie the mark tonight for a few reasons. The main reason is that I love tonight’s match against Rich Hill, the Red Sox writer. I love the Judge game against just about every bowler in the league because he’s a giant guy who hits the ball away. The second reason is that if Judge beats up the “historic” singer tonight, he’d upset many Yankees fans. Tonight’s game is available on Apple TV+, a streaming service that not everyone has. And since baseball fans are usually stuck in 1955 (I’m a baseball fan, I’m throwing myself into this pile), they hate anything new, like baseball on streaming services or streaming that doesn’t feature their cabin. So people like to complain about Apple TV+’s MLB broadcasts. I think they are fine. The picture is amazing.

Anyway, the point is that Aaron Judge hit #61 on a serve that not many Yankees fans have with a declared crew whose will not bother them, and I want that to happen. And I want to make money while doing this.

So join me in rooting for “date” tonight. Go, Aaron Judge, go!

Here’s what SportsLine has to say about the game: If you’re looking for a traditional bet on this, John Bollman of SportsLine believes one side of the total offers good value.


💰 Snapshots

🏈 College Football

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Maryland at No. 4 Michigan, Saturday, 12 noon | TV: Fox
Pick: Michigan-17 (-110) –
A simple way to approach Maryland betting is to start 3-0 which outperforms opponents 121-58. When Maryland plays a team that you have to beat, they will often defeat that team. Rather, it will affect them if given the opportunity. However, when Maryland plays a better team, it is eliminated. In five games against Iowa, Ohio State, Pennsylvania State, Michigan State and Michigan last season, Terps went 0-5 and outperformed 247-84. Michigan beat Maryland 59-18.

In fact, Michigan has won the last six meetings with a total score of 261-59. This is an average margin of 33.7 points per game. While the Wolverines haven’t been tested yet, I don’t think Maryland will offer much testing either. Midfielder Taulia Tagovailoa still takes plenty of chances with the ball, and steers clear of them in the face of normal defences. However, Michigan’s defense is not average. He’ll squeeze him, he’ll panic, and he’ll throw it to the Wolverines. I’ve seen it too many times to expect this week to be different.

Duke in Kansas, Saturday, 12 noon | TV: FS1
Pick: KS-7 (-110) –
I don’t give up on Jayhawks. They’re not lock-ups because I have more confidence in Michigan versus Maryland, but the market still underestimated the Jayhawks. Sure, the course has been corrected a bit after the road victories over West Virginia and Houston, but he overstates the Duke a bit here.

Like Kansas, Duke surprisingly started 3-0. The primary difference is that KS has had tough victories down the road. In contrast, Duke played what might be two of the worst FBS teams in the country (Temple and Northwestern) and an FCS opponent at North Carolina A&T. The Blue Demons’ defense hadn’t seen anything like this Kansas attack yet. I don’t think the Blue Devils have the talent to slow down what was truly an elite attack on Kansas. Let’s ride this Jayhawks wave until we crash on the rocky beach.

No. 10 Arkansas vs No. 23 Texas A&M, Saturday, 7 p.m. | TV: ESPN
Pick: Arkansas +2 (-110) –
Yes, I won’t bet Aggies soon. The crime… well… abusive. As I wrote last week when the Texas A&M team took a game against Miami (and we capitalized easily), if Iowa’s offense hadn’t been as bad a comedy, more people would have noticed that A&M isn’t much better. Aggies ranked 105 nationally in points per drive (1.72), 104 in pass rate (37.3%) and 85 in EPA/play (-0.03). It’s not that coach Jimbo Fischer doesn’t know how to coordinate the attack. Insulting them is too complicated for the university, as players are only allowed plenty of time to “study”. There is reason to simplify many college offenses, but Fisher refuses to simplify his offense or hand the reins to someone else. You see the result.

You know who runs a minor offense, which scores a lot of points and is explosive? Arkansas! Now, the Arkansas defense is confused, but that’s partly by design (there’s a lot of bending but not breaking). It doesn’t concern me against Texas A&M, which can’t pass efficiently against anyone. I get the points, but if you want to take Arkansas straight, I’m not going to try to turn you away from it.

🏈 NFL

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Black in the Vikings, Sunday, 1 p.m. | TV: Fox
Pickaxe: Vikings-6 (-110) –
While I admired the Lions for the first two weeks of the season, I rate them on the Detroit Lions curve. You know, the same way you say that a baby “walks” after he takes his first steps before falling on his butt. If you do, no one will say you’re walking. They will say you fell. I think there is a good chance the lions will fall this week. They held off with Philadelphia and beat Washington last week, but both games were at home. This week, they are on their way to face a division rival who was killed by the same team of Eagles that the Lions got stuck with.

And I think the 24-7 loss made the market a little undervalued for the Vikings here. That game was on the way. At home in Week 1 against Green Bay, the Vikings dominated and won 23-7. Here, in a friendlier environment and away from the peak lights of Kirk Cousins ​​shrinking, I expect Minnesota to do much better and keep the lions at bay.

Jaguars at Chargers, Sunday, 4:05 p.m. | TV: CBS
Pickaxe: Jaguar +7 (-110) –
What I’m suggesting here is that Jaguars might not suck. I’m not ready to say it definitively, but my interest exasperates me, at least. The team had some interesting chops over the course of the season to raise the floor, but what stood out was that Trevor Lawrence may have turned around. After looking like the most rookie quarterback last season, Lawrence appears to be more comfortable attacking Jacksonville within two games. He tore the Colts last week, completing 25 of 30 passes for 235 yards and two touchdowns. While we expect each week to demand a lot, all we need is for Lawrence and Jaguar to hang on to the drop.

Yes, it’s a road game, but it’s a SoFi playground. The place where chargers and rams often have to use silent charges because opposing fans make a lot of noise. Also, we don’t know how healthy Justin Herbert is. He was injured at the end of the Chargers’ loss to Kansas City last Thursday and has been limited in practice this week. He will start the game, but will he finish it? Will it be 100%? There are a lot of unanswered questions about a major player who wants to trust the team he plays for to cover a full relegation, right? I definitely think so.

🔒 Sports day selection: SportsLine resident educator Alex Celesnik has listed all of his favorite NFL player bets for Week 3.


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