Matthew Perry’s love/hate Super Bowl betting

“I’m sweating a lot.”
“Same. We need Vegas to score a fast TD here.”
“Yeah, you need a TD, and then the chargers have to take some shots.”
“Exactly. Raiders score here and we should be fine.”
(The Raiders scored a touchdown soon after.)
“Good start. I need the charger to sign up here and it’s a wrap. They look like [blank] anyway.”
“Yes and yes.”

This was the final game of the 2021 NFL season, a prime-time Sunday night national game between the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders, with huge stakes at stake. A playoff dock for the winning team, and perhaps most importantly, at least in one house, $250 for my son if an overrun occurs.

This was the fourth and final stop of a Parlay game we both took, and the other three (under the New York Jets at the Buffalo Bills, on the San Francisco 49ers at the Los Angeles Rams and more at the New Orleans Saints at the Atlanta Falcons) hit it all. Which means if the Shipper and the Raiders could unite to score more than 48 points in this game, my son David and I might have turned $20 into a few hundred dollars.

We’ve been texting about this program all day long. We talk about football like we have every Thursday night, Sunday night, and Monday night during the NFL season.

David is my oldest. Technically, he’s my stepdaughter, but whatever; This is genetics, not a relationship. He’s my child, and as old readers know, she came into his life when he was ten years old. Ten is a difficult age for any child, especially if he saw his parents divorce when he was seven. To adjust to that, he had to contend with some random new dude dating his mom.

I’ve never been a father before, so it was definitely an adjustment to all of us, especially David and I. Now, my wife and I have a wonderful relationship with David’s father and wife, and they’re very involved in David’s life, so we’re all very fortunate in that regard, and that goes a long way; But especially for David and I, it definitely took us a while to get used to our new normal.

David is 23 now a college graduate, and he’s all about sports betting – so he decided all about it, to make it his career, working at FanDuel, a job he absolutely loves. His passion for sports betting is something we all have in common. In fact, that might be just what we have more subscriber.

I moved to Connecticut to work for ESPN in 2007, and while I’ve always used point spreads, game totals and other betting notes as part of my fantasy football analysis, last season was the first time I could bet on the sport on a regular basis, and I quickly discovered that I loved it. Yes, all caps. Special player props. After doing research all week on what I think players will or won’t do in the context of fantasy football, it’s an easy jump to get a good, informed opinion on what a player will or won’t do in a given game from a props perspective. And the best part is that every player is on the board.

Let’s say I think Nick Chubb will be running a massive fantasy game in one week. amazing. But in fantasy football, I was already starting to churn. He is not available to be selected in any league. There is nothing that can be done about it. But with props, he has a rushing streak. And wrote on his urgent attempts. The odds are on him to score a drop. And a lot of other options. Now I have something to do with my expectation. Man rubbing his hands while smiling GIF.

Of course I will always love fantasy football; But with sports betting, I can choose any player I want, and I can cheer for him or against him. I can bet on what’s below or above. I can bet any number of things related to that player’s performance. If I have a strong sense of how the game is playing, I can make use of a few different interconnected events in the same game: overshoot in rush attempts and undo pass attempts, for the easy example.

It gives me a radical interest in games or players that I might not have much interest in, because I don’t have players on my fantasy team (or my opponent’s team) in that game. It lets me hedge: If I think Nick Chubb is really going to crush a specific week I’m playing against him in fiction, because naturally Me too, so I can bet Chubb is done. At least if he’s going to defeat me in fantasy, he can make me some money while he’s at it.

So I would love for it to give me more ways and options to enjoy the games I’m going to watch. I love it, just like fantasy football, it gives me the excitement and the old sweats.

I would love that it gives me another way to connect with my eldest son. Yes, all caps again.

He lives far from us, on his own, so since college we probably talk once a week. Currently? We talk all the time. Who likes, who likes, what are we betting on, how are we, have you seen this promo, here’s one I really like, over and over again. We’re in this together, teaming up together and trying to beat the books.

I enjoyed every minute of it. We got so close, and I can’t tell you how much that means to me.

And now, with 14:14 left in the final quarter of Sunday night’s season finale, Derek Carr passed to Hunter Renfrew for the touchdown.

But the two-point conversion attempt failed, and she is now 26-14, Raiders; That’s 40 points, which is eight points less than we need.

“Sorry! This lost diversion of two points and . may return [blank] Us, “I’m texting David.” If LA scores, they may not go to two. And the LVR might just sit on the ball and run it away.”

And just like that, Justin Herbert got in the way.

“They really look alike [blank]. Not real.”

Things are suddenly looking dicey for our investments. We’ve had three games hampered us, and now, with 12 minutes or so left, it’s suddenly looking bleak.

Money is great, of course, but the fact that I want my son to be happy is what drives me to this. I want to win this stupid way in the worst way. You have no idea.

I’m watching the match, leaning forward and staring intently.

It’s not pretty, and it’s a bunch of short passes and some Josh Jacobs, but the raiders manage to move the ball quite a bit. With 8:23 left, Daniel Carlson steps up to attempt a 52-yard field goal.

My son texts “52 yards. I don’t know.”

“Nah, it’s a great shot. He’s got that,” I return with a text message.

Carlson sure hits home, and Las Vegas goes up 29-14. 43 total points.

All we need is a landing.

Herbert and the Chargers take charge and start driving. It’s fourth and sixth with 5:01 left, and the Chargers go for that.

“Oh man. Gotta turn this around.”

“they were [blanked] If they stop them.”

Herbert throws a pass to Mike Williams for 5 yards. It is called short of the line.

but!

Chargers defy that. Replays show that they’ve got a case.

“This call is huge,” David wrote. “I thought he leaned forward and had that.”

“Agreed. I think it will be overturned.”

I can’t believe how much I’m hanging on this stupid call. But we are there, miles away, but both of them stare at our screens as if they might reveal the secret of life itself. Finally, the referees make the call.

upside down!

First down, bolts!

David and I are still alive.

Our happiness soon returns to anxiety as Herbert is sacked for losing 11 yards on the first descent. The next two passes are incomplete. And now Herbert, with his team’s playoff shot and our cards in his hands, isn’t necessarily in that order, facing fourth and 21st on the Raiders’ 23 with 4:28 to play.

This is a ball game.

And then, blessing him with his legs and arm cannon, Herbert defends around and finds Josh Palmer 23 yards away.

“We Invited [Blanking] he goes!!!!!!!!”

It’s 29-20. The point after landing does not matter now. The excess strikes us, and the profit pays off. You thought we won the lottery. Maybe it was the sweat all day, maybe it was the intensity of the game, and maybe that was the last game of the regular season, but, man, this stupid little game was such a cool moment, because I got to share it with my kid. We watched the rest of the game as the Chargers convert the two-point attempt and score again as time runs out to send it into overtime. The teams then exchanged open field goals, before Carlson sent the attackers into the playoffs to kick the last three of the 65 points scored in the match. And the whole match was great, but there was nothing more exciting than that 49th point. Of course I may be biased.

I’ve been anticipating single player performance for over three decades, but this is the first time I’ve done any real written betting content. There’s not much time to focus on during the season, but this is the Super Bowl, and here we are.

Before we dive into the topic, there are a few caveats.

First, it sounds obvious, but please only bet what you can afford to lose. I bet on entertainment, something I enjoy with my child. But I only bet an amount that will not affect my life at all, even if I lose every bet. So have fun, but be conservative.

Finally, understand that lines and possibilities, especially with player props, change all the time. There is a very good chance that the streaks and/or juice listed below will fluctuate before kickoff, and the juice may move to a place where you no longer want to make a bet. Caesars Sportsbook is ESPN’s official odds provider, so the odds listed below (except where mentioned) come from it. Her numbers may differ slightly from the odds when I bet her on sports betting here in Connecticut. Do whatever you want with it. And be sure to shop for the best lines and odds; It’s half the fun, and it’s also an advantage, especially with so many companies offering odds-boosting, promotions, and specials. If you are new to betting, I highly encourage you to read this introductory guide on how to manage your money.

Let’s go.

The 2022 Super Bowl player props I love (aka the sums I eat)

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