EchoPark Automotive 500 NASCAR Preview & Best Bets – Pickswise

After another unwinnable driver won last weekend in Bristol, we’re turning the page on Texas Motor Speedway and the EchoPark Automotive 500. Texas is one of the few “standard” tracks in qualifying, making it a prime track to secure a quarter-final victory and snatch a place in the Eight round. It probably won’t be that easy even though progress has been made in the middle races this year and Texas history.

Texas Motor Speedway Planning and Betting Strategy

The 1.5-mile track outside of Fort Worth, Texas appears to have been modified nonstop since it was built. She recently had a resurfacing a few years ago to try to save her. It didn’t work very well. The combination of relatively steep banks, new asphalt, and an elliptical four-wheel design creates races that can be challenging to watch at times. Hopefully this next-gen car can improve it here, as it has for a few other intermediate tracks. While there was an All-Star race here back in May, that wouldn’t have much weight for Sunday’s race. why? There are different tires on the cars this week, and that was a half-field format. Normally we’ve seen quite a bit of passing towards the top 10 on the field in the last several races here, and unless chaos ensues this will likely be the case again.

EchoPark Automotive 500 chooses an outright winner

The odds listed are from the DraftKings sports website at the time of publication

Denny Hamlin (+550)

Hamlin was remarkably consistent below the span on the average-style tracks. In the last 5 high-speed intermediate races this year, he has finished no worse than P4 in all of them with one win and a back-to-back runner-up. While the other drivers at Camp Toyota had some misfortune, this luck stayed away from Hamlin. Finally Hamlin has a win here in the last 5 races to line up with 3 of the top 11.

Christopher Bell (+700)

A P3 streak in Texas and 5 of the 6 bests in the last six intermediate races this year, Bell is high on the favourites. He’s been pretty fast in every race in the past two months, too. Strong finishes, speed and consistency are all one thing, but let’s also consider the next step. Talladega and Charlotte Ruffal finished this round before his better tracks made up Round 8. These are his best shots to advance to the next qualifying round. We cannot ignore that.

William Byron (+1200)

Since the playoffs began, Byron has been consistently fast. This makes sense since he said the test wheels were taken off of him. So let’s jump on it again. Byron has finished in the top eight in the last two intermediate races including running faster than his final spot in Kansas, on the same tires they will be getting this weekend. The last race in Texas saw Byron finish P2 as well. Like Bale, his best shot to secure a place in the quarter-finals is a win on this “standard” track.

(+2500) Alex Bowman

Bowman has another race theme in Texas. P18, P5, P30, P5 and P33 are Bowman’s last 5 finishes in Texas. This is that every other race. Let’s combine that with him in posting 6 of the top 10 races in the 8 high-speed intermediate races this year. This makes him linked to Kyle Larson and Christopher Bell this year. His average running position in those races is seventh best as well. Those odds are far too long for a guy who has been as good at these trails as anyone in the field.

NASCAR’s Best Supporting Bets for Texas Motor Speedway

Saturday bet: Christopher Bell wins 1st place (+800)

This bet is for Saturday. During the eight high-speed intermediate races this year, Bell has the best average starting point for anyone in the field. Why is he fourth in odds then? He’s started P4 or better in the last 7 similar races – including being 1st twice. It also ranks in the top four for pure accelerometers in these charts. This is a very good return for not putting some money on it.

Kevin Harvick top-5 finish (+250)

Yes, Harvick was disastrous in the playoff round of 16. A couple of wrecks then not enough points in the third race. But that does not keep us from this bet. He’s been the most consistent driver in Texas over the past seven years, regardless of design with some victories and many solid finishes. Here’s the thing about those wrecks in the last few races: They happened when he was running really well. Assuming the speed is still in the quad, this is a great comeback for something Harvick has done 3 times in the last five races in Texas.

Eric Jones finish in the top ten (+300)

Jones has finished four of the 12 best races in the last f5 races in Texas, three of which are in the top 10. Looking at this year, it has published 3 of the top 10 in the 8 brokers. That doesn’t sound great but he was ranked 10th best running position in those races. If he can avoid the issues that have kept him from top finishes this year, then we are looking forward to a good return for a driver and a car capable of finishing in the top ten.

H2H: William Byron defeats Martin Truex Jr. (+100)

Do we really have to explain this? Truex hasn’t had a lot of good runs at all this year while Byron’s bad runs can be explained by test settings. Byron with proper setup, as if he had the last 3 intermediate races and Truex, from qualifying, with bad luck it’s not really a comparison, sure, average finishes for Byron and Truex are similar in both similar races this year and the last 5 races in Texas, but This year’s results are still in Byron’s favor on true accelerometers.

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